Early Warning Project Blog


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Recent Posts

Dec 01, 2016

Which countries in the world are most likely to see the start of new episodes of state-led mass killing in 2017? To help us answer this question, we’d like you to vote in our fourth annual wiki survey.

Jun 23, 2016

The West African nation of The Gambia has made a quite habit of generating headlines for all the wrong reasons...The Gambia has been mired under the patently dangerous leadership of Yahya Jammeh.

Jun 06, 2016

These countries have experienced ongoing episodes of state-led mass killing or mass killing perpetrated by non-state actors that have lasted through 2015 and into the current year.

May 03, 2016

Guest post: On 22 December 2014, militants killed over 70 unarmed men, women and children in India’s Assam State. Massacres of civilians have become all too common in the region.

Feb 16, 2016

Nearly two years ago, Ukraine’s winter of revolution was melting into an unsteady spring.

Feb 03, 2016

We’re excited to announce that this week, we’ll be launching the Early Warning Project challenge on Good Judgment Inc.’s public forecasting site, GJ Open. We will start by cross-posting questions from our opinion pool on the risk of mass atrocities there, and will also include a few questions about current events linked to these risks. As followers of our work know

Jan 12, 2016

For the third year in a row, the Early Warning Project ran a wiki survey in December to get another take on countries' relative risks of state-led mass killing onsets. The results are mapped below. The darker the shade of gray, the greater the risk that 2016 will bring the start of a new episode of state-led mass killing, according to our survey’s respondents. https://images-earlywarningproject-com.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/storytime/med

Dec 17, 2015

The conflict between Turkey and the PKK has resumed; what that might mean for the risk of state-led mass killing.

Dec 01, 2015

Which countries in the world are most likely to see the start of new episodes of state-led mass killing in 2016? To help us answer this question, we’d like you to vote in a wiki survey, the results of which are visible as the survey progresses, will be publicized on this blog and, when it finally launches, will be posted the Early Warning Project’s public web site. Part


About the Expert Warning Project Blog

The Early Warning Project blog provides regular analysis of at-risk countries and evolving situations around the world.

The Early Warning Project blog features posts in several categories, including our annual Statistical Risk Assessments and occasional updates to them; alerts about, and analysis of, forecasts from our Expert Opinion Pool; reactions to relevant news from specific countries and regions; pointers to interesting new research on mass killing and prevention; and interviews with members of the genocide prevention community.

If you are interested in writing a guest post on our blog, please be in touch.