Statistical Risk: 
2016 - 0.8%
2015 - 0.9%
2014 - 0.7%

World Ranking: 45/162

Population: 1,357,380,000

Ongoing Episodes:

Statistical Risk Assessment

Early Warning Project Blog

Sep 29, 2014

Putting the Hong Kong protests in the context of violent state crackdowns and the potential for a mass atrocity.

Sep 15, 2014

Since 2009, violence in Xinjiang has largely been limited. This year, however, Xinjiang has seen a dramatic increase in violence and with it the potential for, if not the occurrence of, an episode of state-led mass killing.