Statistical Risk: 
2016 - 4.2%
2015 - 0.7%
2014 - 0.7%

World Ranking: 6/162

Population: 10,162,531

Ongoing Episodes:

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Statistical Risk Assessment

Early Warning Project Blog

Jul 06, 2015

We had over 450 votes on policy options the international community should pursue in Burundi to prevent mass atrocities; results are summarize in this post.

May 02, 2015

An update on the risk of mass killing in Burundi as President Pierre Nkurunziza's decision to run for a third term sparked protests and violence.

Dec 08, 2014

Human rights groups and the United Nations have been warning that Burundi’s elections in 2015 could spark a genocide, but the Early Warning Project’s risk assessments so far indicate that Burundi is not at especially high risk of state-led mass killing.